Trading Blog

Hot Take Amid the persistent inflation fears and the hysteria often amplified on social media, I remain cautiously optimistic. While I don’t claim to know the future, my stance—that inflation is cooling and the labor market remains resilient—is supported by data and reviews I’ve written over the past year. I’ll lay out my reasoning in …

Positive Jobs and Inflation Data Read More »

Lede Don’t miss out on the rally no one sees coming. Today we got the CPI report and it was spectacular news. CPI MoM came in negative (-0.1%) for the first time since 2020. CPI YoY (3.0%) is at a multi-year low. Core CPI YoY (3.2%) is at a multi-year low. Housing inflation is at a multi-year low. Prices …

Inflation Hits Multi-year Lows Read More »

  7/5/2024 Reminder: The CML Pro quarterly webinar is tomorrow at 11a PT / 2pm ET. You can register here: CML Pro Webinar: 7-6-2024 The webinar will be recorded and automatically emailed; there is is no need to email support. Lede Today, we received the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, providing data on unemployment and various other …

Wage Inflation Lows; Unemployment Rate Highs; Labor dynamics have changed Read More »